Market Scenario 

Japan solar power generation market was valued at US$ 3.32 billion in 2024 and is projected to hit the market valuation of US$ 12.21 billion by 2033 at a CAGR of 8.15% during the forecast period 2025–2033.

Japan’s solar power generation market continues its robust expansion, with installed photovoltaic (PV) capacity reaching 100 GWdc in 2024, up from 87 GW in 2023 and 85 GW in 2022. This growth cements Japan’s position as one of the world’s leading solar nations, ranking third globally in total installed capacity. The country’s solar deployment is driven by both utility-scale and residential installations, with the average new residential system sized at about 5 kW. By 2025, the number of grid-connected solar PV systems is expected to exceed 3 million, and the cumulative number of solar rooftops in Tokyo alone is projected to rise by at least 30% due to the city’s new solar mandate for all new detached homes, effective April 2025. The government’s long-term vision targets 150 GW of solar capacity by 2040, a significant leap from the 74 GW recorded in 2022. Solar PV accounted for 13% of Japan’s electricity in 2024, with per capita capacity reaching 744 W. The share of solar in new renewable capacity additions remains above 75%, reflecting strong policy support and public acceptance. These trends highlight Japan’s commitment to a solar-powered future.

Japan’s solar power generation market capacity reached a record 102 TWh in 2024, representing 13% of the nation’s total electricity output. This marks a substantial increase from previous years, with the annual growth rate of solar generation projected at 9–10% for 2024–2025. The average capacity factor for solar PV in Japan remains between 15–20%, reflecting the country’s climate and advanced system designs. A typical 5 kW residential solar system now generates about 5,500–6,000 kWh annually, while a 1 MW solar plant produces approximately 4,000–5,000 kWh daily. The performance ratio (PR) for well-maintained solar plants is typically 75–85%, and system uptime exceeds 98%, ensuring reliable output. The average degradation rate of solar panels is 0.5–0.8% per year, and over 90% of panel materials are recyclable, supporting sustainability as more systems reach end-of-life. By 2025, solar’s share in Japan’s total electricity generation is expected to remain in the 10–13% range, with over 3 million grid-connected systems nationwide. These figures underscore the sector’s maturity and its vital role in Japan’s clean energy transition. 

Key Findings Shaping Japan Solar Power Generation Market For 2024

• Poly-crystalline solar modules in Japan achieve >19.5% efficiency.
• The performance ratio (PR) for Japanese solar plants is typically 75–85%.
• The average degradation rate of solar panels in Japan is 0.5–0.8% per year.
• System uptime for modern Japanese solar plants is above 98%.
• A 5 kW DC plant in Japan can produce 21 kWh/day (specific yield: 4.2 kWh/kWp).
• Over 90% of solar panel materials are recyclable.
• Solar panel recycling can recover up to 95% of glass and 85% of silicon in 2024.
• Japan’s perovskite solar cells are targeted to reach commercial scale by 2040, with pilot projects
• Japan’s solar panel manufacturing process accounts for about two-thirds of life-cycle emissions in 2024.

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Market Dynamics

Investment and Finance Drive Solar Expansion and Innovation

Investment in Japan’s solar power generation market remains robust, with the government committing $1.5 billion to perovskite solar technology development in 2024. The broader energy transition plan allocates over ¥150 trillion (approximately $996 billion) for renewables over the next decade, with solar as a central focus. In 2024, Japan approved 27 grid-scale battery and energy storage projects valued at EUR 217 million to support solar integration. The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) set solar power generation rates at 24 yen/kWh for up to four years and 8.3 yen/kWh for five to ten years, ensuring stable returns for investors. Global investment in solar is projected to reach $450 billion in 2025, with Japan as a major contributor. The Tokyo government continues to offer subsidies for solar panel installations on new buildings, further accelerating adoption. Japan’s public-private perovskite consortium, comprising 150 organizations, exemplifies the country’s commitment to innovation. Government-backed renewable energy auctions in 2024 are designed to foster competition and lower costs, while incentives for decentralized solar solutions address land constraints. These financial and policy measures are pivotal in sustaining Japan’s solar momentum.

Government Policy and Support Accelerate Solar Power Growth

Japan’s government has enacted a suite of policies to accelerate solar power adoption. The Seventh Strategic Energy Plan (2024) targets renewables at 40–50% of the electricity mix by 2040, with solar as a cornerstone. Tokyo’s solar panel mandate for all new detached homes, effective April 2025, is expected to significantly boost rooftop installations across Japan solar power generation market. The Feed-in Tariff (FiT) system continues to guarantee fixed purchase prices for solar-generated electricity, while the Feed-in Premium (FiP) scheme provides additional incentives for projects of 50 kW or more. Japan’s carbon neutrality target for 2050 positions solar as a key pillar in decarbonization efforts. The government’s renewable energy auctions in 2024 include both solar and offshore wind projects, aiming to increase competition and reduce costs. The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) remains the primary agency overseeing solar policy. The push for net-zero energy houses (ZEH) by 2030, with solar as a requirement, further demonstrates policy ambition. The public-private perovskite consortium and support for energy storage underscore the government’s holistic approach to a sustainable energy future.

Import-Export and Manufacturing Trends Shape Japan Solar Power Generation Market

While Japan was once a global leader in PV manufacturing, accounting for around 50% of global market share in the early 2000s, its share has declined to below 1% due to the rise of Chinese manufacturing. Nevertheless, Japan remains a major exporter of advanced solar technologies, particularly thin-film and perovskite cells. The global trade value for solar-related goods reached a record $33 trillion in 2024, reflecting heightened manufacturing and trade activity. Japan’s solar panel recycling industry is poised for growth as more panels reach end-of-life, with over 90% of materials being recyclable. The country’s manufacturing process accounts for about two-thirds of the life-cycle emissions of solar panels, highlighting the need for continued innovation. Japan also exports solar technology and expertise to countries like Mexico, maintaining a strong presence in high-tech segments even as mass production shifts abroad.

Grid Integration and Storage Solutions Enhance Solar Reliability

Grid integration and energy storage are critical to Japan’s solar power generation market future. In 2024, Japan approved 27 grid-scale battery and energy storage projects valued at EUR 217 million, reflecting a strategic push to stabilize the grid and maximize solar utilization. Sumitomo Corporation is scaling up battery storage from 9 MW to over 500 MW by 2031, with significant progress expected in 2024–2025. Battery storage is essential for integrating variable solar power, providing frequency regulation and peak demand management. The cost of lithium-ion batteries has declined by over 80% since 2010, making solar-plus-storage projects increasingly viable. Many grid-scale storage projects are co-located with solar plants, and the share of solar-plus-storage in new installations is rising. Government incentives and policy support are driving rapid growth in Japan’s battery storage capacity, making it one of the fastest-growing markets in Asia. These advancements ensure that solar power remains a reliable and flexible component of Japan’s energy mix, supporting both decarbonization and energy security.

Segmental Analysis 

By Application 

In the Japan solar power generation market, the residential segment controls more than 30% of total revenue share, reflecting a unique blend of policy, social, and economic drivers. The surge in residential installations was fueled by government feed-in tariffs that incentivized homeowners to install rooftop PV systems and sell excess electricity back to the grid. The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry’s goal for 70% of new homes to have solar power, along with Tokyo’s 2025 mandate for solar panels on all new detached homes, has further fueled this trend. High electricity prices and a strong public desire for energy independence, especially after natural disasters, have also played a significant role.

The dominance of the residential segment is also driven by Japan’s urban density and limited land availability, making rooftop solar the most practical solution for many households. The modular nature of PV technology allows for easy integration into existing and new buildings, supporting the government’s net-zero energy house (ZEH) initiative. The Japan solar power generation market benefits from a mature supply chain, with installers and service providers catering specifically to residential customers. As a result, the residential segment not only leads in revenue but also plays a crucial role in public acceptance and the overall growth trajectory of the sector. 

By End Use

More than 65% of revenue in the Japan solar power generation market comes from the power generation application, making it the dominant use case over alternatives like heating, charging, or lighting. This is primarily because the market is structured around large-scale electricity production, both for grid supply and distributed generation. The government’s feed-in tariff system, which guarantees premium rates for solar-generated electricity fed into the grid, has made power generation the most lucrative application. Rapid growth in utility-scale solar farms and commercial rooftop installations has pushed total installed capacity to 91 GW in 2024, with annual generation surpassing 102 TWh.

The focus on power generation is also a response to Japan’s energy security needs and decarbonization targets. With limited fossil fuel resources and a strong push to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, solar power generation offers a scalable, clean, and reliable solution. The Japan solar power generation market’s infrastructure, including smart grids and advanced metering, is optimized for integrating solar electricity into the national supply. While solar heating, charging, and lighting have niche roles, they lack the scale and policy support that make power generation the clear leader in the market. 

By Solar Module

Cadmium telluride (CdTe) modules have emerged as the most dominant solar module in the Japan solar power generation market, controlling over 35% market share. CdTe modules are favored for their high efficiency, lower manufacturing costs, and superior performance in Japan’s varied climate conditions. They are less sensitive to high temperatures and partial shading, making them ideal for both urban and rural installations. The rapid deployment capabilities of CdTe technology support the government’s aggressive renewable energy targets and the need for quick, scalable solutions.

CdTe modules are widely adopted in utility-scale projects and commercial rooftops, where their cost-effectiveness and durability provide a competitive edge. The technology’s lower carbon footprint and recyclability align with Japan’s environmental priorities, further boosting its appeal. The Japan solar power generation market’s preference for CdTe is also influenced by global supply chain dynamics, as leading manufacturers ensure a steady supply of high-quality modules. As Japan continues to expand its solar capacity, CdTe’s dominance is expected to persist, driven by its proven performance, economic advantages, and alignment with national sustainability goals.

By Technology 

The Japan solar power generation market is overwhelmingly led by solar photovoltaic (PV) technology, which holds over 60% market share. This dominance is rooted in Japan’s long-standing commitment to PV research and deployment, dating back to the Sunshine Project in the 1970s. The government’s proactive stance, especially after the 2011 Fukushima nuclear disaster, accelerated the adoption of solar PV as a safe, scalable, and reliable alternative to nuclear and fossil fuels. Robust policy support, including generous feed-in tariffs and subsidies, made PV installations financially attractive for both residential and commercial users. As a result, Japan’s installed solar PV capacity reached 91 GW in 2024, with PV accounting for 13% of national electricity generation. The country’s limited domestic oil and gas reserves have also made solar PV a strategic choice for energy security and sustainability.

In the Japan solar power generation market, PV technology’s modularity and ease of installation have enabled widespread adoption across rooftops, industrial sites, and utility-scale projects. Japanese manufacturers, such as Kyocera and Sharp, historically led global PV innovation, and while mass production has shifted to China, Japan continues to invest in next-generation PV technologies like perovskite cells. PV’s compatibility with urban environments, where land is scarce and distributed generation is essential, further reinforces its dominance. With government targets aiming for 108 GW of solar capacity by 2030 and up to 370 GW by 2050, PV’s leadership is set to continue for the foreseeable future. 

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Top Companies in the Japan Solar Power Generation Market

• Trina solar
• Canadian Solar
• SunPower Corporation
• Hanwha Q Cells Co. Ltd.
• JinkoSolar Holding Co. Ltd.
• Enphase Energy Inc.
• First Solar Inc.
• JA Solar Holdings Co. Ltd.
• SolarEdge Technologies
• Other Prominent Players

Market Segmentation Overview

By Technology

• Solar Photovoltaic
• CSP

By Application

• Residential
• Non-Residential
• Utility

By End-Use

• Electricity Generation
• Lighting
• Heating
• Charging

By Solar Module

• Cadmium Telluride
• Amorphous Silicon Cells
• Others (Monocrystalline, Polycrystalline)